Abstract: Objective: The U.K. and the U.S. attach importance to the scientific assessment and prediction of enrollment scale of medical education. In the United Kingdom, the total enrollment and enrollment quota for each medical school are under direct control of the government. In the United States, the number of enrollment is mainly determined by medical schools themselves. Educational subsidy is used in controlling scale of enrollment in both of the two countries. China should strengthen scientific planning and make use of economic measures in controlling the enrollment scale of medical education. All influential factors should be considered and appropriate methods be used in predicting the scale. Finally, government sectors and research institutions should collaborate closely to establish a long-term mechanism in assessing and predicting the enrollment scale of medical education.

Key words: United Kingdom, United States, medical education, school enrollment, forecasting